3min chapter

Making Sense with Sam Harris cover image

#155 — Mental Models

Making Sense with Sam Harris

CHAPTER

Is There a Survivorship Model?

We're constantly being advertised the evidence of only those success stories, and we're not given any true indication of the ocean of failures that is behind many of those. M, i guess also connects to another model, which is just understanding base rates. I mean, just how how many new businesses succeed, for instance, or howk this is not something that you necessarily understand when you calculate the probability that any new venture is going to work out for you. Ouneed to factor in that outside view in terms of making decisions. And you don't need to do it all the time. Maybe maybe it's best not to do it in matters of love, right? And maybe it's

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