What's on Your Mind for 2023?

If we're going to have a recession, it likely happens in the first half of 2023. The labor market is one of the last things that cracks in an economic downturn. In a recessionary scenario, the market usually goes down by about 35, 40%.

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A little confused about how we’ve gotten to…well, ~gestures to everything~? The S&P 500 down roughly 25% YTD, record-high inflation, and rate hike after rate hike?

SoFi’s (https://www.sofi.co) Head of Investment Strategy, Liz Young, joins me to break it all down—and makes a few historically informed predictions about what’s likely on the horizon in 2023.

She also addresses why she thinks now’s the time on which we’re all going to look back and wish we bought more, what to buy during downturns, and the relationship between the stock market and the bond market.

Katie also answers a question about Roth IRA platforms. Placement is a general marketing offering and is not a recommendation to take any particular action, including rolling over an existing account. Consider your personal situation and preferences, including fees and expenses for each option, before deciding to roll over. Please refer to Betterment's Form CRS (http://www.betterment.com/legal/form-crs) and other disclosures (http://www.betterment.com/legal) for more information.

To learn more about our sponsor, Vin Social, check out http://vinsocialvip.com/.

Episode transcripts can be found at https://www.podpage.com/money-with-katie-show/.

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Mentioned in the Episode

The Important Part: Investing with Liz Young: https://open.spotify.com/show/3v9RQmKZioeCCDXEdmlZNP?si=9e91ea5676834fa1&nd=1
Bond market in "bull market": https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/r.i.p-bond-bull-market-1981-2021-2021-03-16
Inverted yield curves: https://www.cnbc.com/2022/09/21/what-the-inverted-yield-curve-means-for-your-portfolio-.html
Yield curves & recessions: https://www.chicagofed.org/publications/chicago-fed-letter/2018/404
Net present value: https://www.investopedia.com/terms/n/npv.asp
Jack Raines's Young Money post on risk: https://www.youngmoney.co/p/rethinking-risk
Liz Young's 2022 outlook, "Running Into the Wind": https://www.sofi.com/blog/2022-market-outlook/
Liz Young's H2 2022 outlook, "Running Out of Steam": https://www.sofi.com/blog/liz-looks-2h-2022-outlook-running-steam/
Roth IRA platforms mentioned: Vanguard, Fidelity, Charles Schwab (most hands-on), M1 Finance (partially hands-on), Betterment (mostly hands off)