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How Close Are We to AGI? Inside Epoch's GATE Model (with Ege Erdil)

Future of Life Institute Podcast

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Navigating AI's Economic Impact

This chapter investigates the organizational developments within Epoch, focusing on the GATE model's exploration of compute scaling and economic automation. It examines the complexities of modeling AI advancements and their implications for research and development timelines, while also discussing potential bottlenecks to automation. The dialogue contrasts optimistic predictions about AI's impacts on R&D with skepticism regarding the actual rate of progress and the need for scaling both research capabilities and computational resources.

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