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Kevin McCarthy and the Debt Ceiling
The two sides are at a very... there's no Venn diagram overlap between clean debt limit, won't negotiate, and no clean debt limit must negotiate. I think the smart thing to do for everyone would be to punt the debt ceiling to a temporary increase in the ceiling and punt it to past the government funding deadline. No one wants a government shutdown, but it would be a lot less damaging than a catastrophic default that would basically destroy the global economy.