Thinking Fast and Slow (part 1)
What You Will Learn
00:00
Regression to the Mean
Danny canman says we need to be careful that evaluating the plausibility and coherence should be different from looking at the underlying probability. He was talking to a group, saying how the best way to improve ormance is to simply provide rewards, rather than just punishment of mistakes. So what happened is this fly cadet did something really above their personal average performance, and then from there they're much more likely to go down than up.
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