Intro

In today's Cloud Wars Minute, I take a look at how Oracle and Google Cloud are surging past Microsoft and AWS in RPO and backlog growth

Highlights

00:13 — There’s no question that 10, 12, 15 years ago, it was AWS and Microsoft that set the rules for cloud infrastructure. Google Cloud and Oracle, both of them, while much smaller in revenue than AWS and Microsoft, are growing much faster. My conclusion here is that Oracle and Google Cloud are roaring past Microsoft and AWS in RPO and backlog growth. Let me show you what I mean.

01:14 — Oracle, Google Cloud, Microsoft, AWS. I’ve got two sets of growth rates here. This first one looks sequentially — Q3 RPO growth versus total Q2 revenue — and what the growth rate is. Oracle: $455 billion RPO. It grew sequentially from their last quarter to this quarter — its RPO went up 43%. Google Cloud: $155 billion. From last quarter’s number to this quarter, its RPO growth rate was up 46%.

02:17 — Microsoft: $392 billion, huge number, but its RPO grew just 6.5%. Looks weak compared to the others, but then there’s AWS — $200 billion RPO for the quarter ended September 30. That’s an RPO growth of only 2.5%. So, we have these two high-flyers in the hyper-growth category, mid-40s, and the two big traditional cloud infrastructure vendors growing in single digits.

03:15 — RPO growth rates on an annual basis, year over year. Oracle’s up 359%. Google Cloud: huge jump here, 82% growth in their backlog year over year. Microsoft: very nice, 51% year over year. But if you look at the most recent number, it’s 6.5%. AWS — I can’t give you an annual growth number because a year ago AWS was not releasing its backlog numbers. In Q2, it was $195 billion.

04:03 — So, they went up $5 billion to $200 billion, and that’s why they had that small growth number. Now we all know those lines about “there are three kinds of lies — lies, damned lies, and statistics.” So, somebody might think I’m spinning a tale and fibbing or lying about these numbers, but the numbers themselves do not lie, and what they’re clearly showing is that Google Cloud and Oracle are doing new sorts of things.

04:46 — They're appealing to the new needs, demands, and requirements customers have, and it’s being reflected in the growth — not only their higher revenue growth rates, which reflect the past, but also their RPO or backlog growth rates, which reflect and look into the future.

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