9min chapter

Past Present Future cover image

The History of Revolutionary Ideas: The Bayesian Revolution w/David Spiegelhalter

Past Present Future

CHAPTER

Bayes and the Foundations of Probability

This chapter examines the historical context of probability in the 18th century, focusing on how Bayes transformed its understanding from mere predictions of future events to a deeper inquiry into causation. It highlights the philosophical discussions surrounding probability, including its implications for the belief in God, and the criticism from contemporaries like Hume. Through practical examples and innovative analogies, the chapter illustrates the evolution of probability theory, emphasizing Bayesian reasoning's role in interpreting limited data.

00:00

Get the Snipd
podcast app

Unlock the knowledge in podcasts with the podcast player of the future.
App store bannerPlay store banner

AI-powered
podcast player

Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features

Discover
highlights

Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode

Save any
moment

Hear something you like? Tap your headphones to save it with AI-generated key takeaways

Share
& Export

Send highlights to Twitter, WhatsApp or export them to Notion, Readwise & more

AI-powered
podcast player

Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features

Discover
highlights

Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode