2min chapter

FiveThirtyEight Politics cover image

What The Speakership Vote Tells Us About The GOP

FiveThirtyEight Politics

CHAPTER

How Much Does a Scandal Affect Elections?

If this had been fully reported out before the election, do you think George Santos would have lost? I don't think it's easy to tell. Even Chuck Schumer in the Senate race lost this district by four points. So even if all that stuff had come out about Santos, does the kind of mini red wave carry him across the finish line? But it's impossible to know for sure.

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