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Inside Peter Dutton’s leadership test in Aston

7am

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The Chance to Hand the Federal Liberals a Loss in Aston

Labour strategists believe they have a one in three chance of winning Aston. Peter Dutton is expecting a very tight contest and probably hoping that the precedent of an opposition not losing an election to a government for over 100 years could be the factor that'll save his skin. The Prime Minister, Anthony Arbenese, and his party room on Tuesday said, look, the average swing against governments in these by-elections is 5%. So unless Peter Dutton gets a 5% swing against us, it can be considered a loss. But I think Dutton will bank any win. Even if he loses, by the way, any idea that that would deal a mortal blow to his leadership,

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