2min chapter

This Week in Intelligent Investing cover image

Scarcity vs. Abundance, and the Curation Unlock | Firestone's Law of Forecasting

This Week in Intelligent Investing

CHAPTER

The Probability of a Low Probability Event Happening Over a Longer Period of Time, Right?

If there's a three % probability of an event happening this year, you're willing to tolerate that. But over 50 years, let's call it your adult lifetime, there's a 78% chance of one of those events hitting and actually occurring. I don't think people really reconcile that concept too well in their heads. And yet, that seems kind of bizarre to me.

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