3min chapter

The Joe Walker Podcast cover image

Against Bayesianism — David Deutsch

The Joe Walker Podcast

CHAPTER

Is There an Iceberg in the South Pole?

Science fiction turned pessimistic between the nineteenth and twentieth century. When people speculated about the future, they're more likely to have been wrong a overestimating progress than by underestimating it. I think one thing that's happened is that between the 19th and 20th century, speculative fiction, science fictionar turned pessimistic. And i now my best guess is that it is true.

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