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E63 - Sports Modeling & ScoreEx Betting Exchange

Business of Betting Podcast

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Debating the Concept of Momentum in NFL Games

This chapter explores the concept of momentum in sports and discusses whether it is a real phenomenon or merely statistical probabilities. Using examples like the Patriots vs Falcons Super Bowl game, the hosts delve into the hot hand theory and the existence of literature that both supports and contradicts momentum. They ultimately conclude that while short-term streaks may exist, prior beliefs and regression towards the mean play a larger role in predicting future performance.

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