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Danny Crichton — Player of Games (EP.239)

Infinite Loops

CHAPTER

Navigating Uncertainty: Confidence and Humility in Decision-Making

This chapter explores the challenges of decision-making under uncertainty, particularly in high-stakes environments like investments in hard sciences. It emphasizes the importance of balancing confidence with intellectual humility and the role of pre-mortem analysis in improving decision strategies. Through personal anecdotes and comparisons to other professions, the discussion highlights the need for adaptability and the dangers of overconfidence in professional settings.

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