
Julia Galef on how to argue better and change your mind more
The Gray Area with Sean Illing
Are You a Little Sceptical of Risks That Make You Feel Good?
I think it can be useful to ask like, what would I expect to see in a world where I'm right about the reasons why people think AI is a serious concern. Is there anything that I expect to be likely to happen or not likely to happen in the next five years if I'm right? And so for the people who thought, you know, we're making rapid progress and we're probably going to have human level AI then they might start to cast more doubt on their timelines. There are other risks that are just sort of boring and are really complicated. Like downstream consequences from collapsing coral reefs like I don't think that's a civilizational risk in the way people believe AI is
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