Regression to the Mean Is a Credible Explanation

Regression to the mean is certainly a credible explanation, particularly because when you get on to the cover, it's prob because there has been a significant jump in your performance in recent times. It's not the same as a constant upward trend. The idea that once in a while it will appear in a particular case seems not surprising at all. This tendency to seek out coincidence, to seek out what look like patterns, would seem to be ingrained in human psychology.