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Will the Fed Thread the Needle? with Itay Vinik
Bankless
The Relationship Between Recession and Consumers
I think about 60, 70% confidence recession is coming very soon. The yield curve when it starts disinverting tells us that it's usually within a few months already. We know we're going to have below trend growth. GDP estimates are now showing one of the largest deceleration in real economic activity of all time. And we're seeing the consumer also not being in great shape as well.
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