1min chapter

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Q3 2022 Investor Audibles: Third Point Capital, Ensemble Capital, Greenlight Capital

Value Hive Podcast

CHAPTER

How to Predict a Recession

At Ensemble, we don't believe that accurately predicting recessions ahead of time as possible. The Federal Reserve focuses an incredible amount of intellectual firepower and effectively unlimited financial resources at trying to figure out how the economy will evolve in the future. Yet their track record of making accurate forecasts about the future is dismal. It could be that American consumers who spending makes up 70% of the economy simply keep spending money as they have all year long in a recession are avoided.

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