The Market Is Still in Denial

"It's gonna be a good year, Matt. First rip of 2023," Barry Silbert says on his first day back in Austin after 51 days away. "I'm energized right now." He talks about how the market is still in denial that Gemini users are worth $900 million. It takes so long for things like this to get resolved; it was quick for failure with SPF.

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Episode notes

This week Marty and Matt discuss:

- winklevoss blast silbert https://www.nobsbitcoin.com/gemini-cofounder-cameron-public-letter/

- dcg fires 30% of employees at genesis https://www.wsj.com/articles/crypto-lender-genesis-lays-off-30-of-staff-11672939434

- dcg shutters wealth management division https://www.theinformation.com/articles/genesis-parent-company-dcg-shutters-its-wealth-management-division

- silvergate lost $700m during ftx panic bank run https://www.wsj.com/articles/silvergate-raced-to-cover-8-1-billion-in-withdrawals-during-crypto-meltdown-11672895207

- coinbase pays NY Gov $50M implements stricter KYC https://www.nytimes.com/2023/01/04/business/coinbase-settlement-anti-money-laundering.html

- electrum v4.3.3 https://github.com/spesmilo/electrum/blob/master/RELEASE-NOTES

- zeus v0.7.1 https://github.com/ZeusLN/zeus/releases/tag/v0.7.1

- bdk v0.26.0 https://github.com/bitcoindevkit/bdk/releases/tag/v0.26.0

- rust whirlpool implementation https://github.com/straylight-orbit/whirlpool-client-rs

- nunchuk adds collaborative custody subscriptions https://nunchuk.io/blog/introducing-the-honey-badger-wallet

- fedimint hackathon https://www.fedi.xyz/fedimint-hackathon

- new zoltan https://www.nobsbitcoin.com/content/files/2022/12/ZoltanPozsar-CreditSuisse-WarandCommodity-Encumbrance.pdf

10:30 - Opening riff
14:18 - Dashboard fakeout
16:12 - You could ski down the Dow Jones chart
19:50 - Dashboard for real
24:08 - Recession
31:53 - DCG
34:36 - Cameron Winklevoss's letter
36:11 - More DCG
40:19 - What's Gemini Earn?
47:24 - Cognitive dissonance of finance and crypto
50:25 - Humble stackers win out
52:32 - Luke Dashjr lost his coins
58:09 - Matt's new Coldcard guide
1:01:05 - Genesis cascade effect and Silvergate bank run
1:05:21 - IndyMac clip, volume warning
1:10:22 - Back to Silvergate
1:12:57 - Bitcoin over gold
1:18:52 - Bitcoin's marshmallow test
1:25:36 - Coinbase pays NY, gets stronger KYC
1:27:38 - Software updates lightning round
1:28:35 - Straylight Orbit
1:29:22 - Nunchuck
1:34:58 - The Coinbase ad
1:37:37 - Fedi hackathon
1:38:45 - Boostagrams
1:40:43 - Zoltan's back
1:45:25 - Closing riff