Even if you see these positive tales in your life, it's not necessarily the best move to only invest there. It may be great for a period of time, but then you're missing out on all the future tales that could exist. The ultimate advice is just be a little bit more cautious, or iw'uld say more humble. And we're working in an uncertain world where there's lots of variables.
In this episode, Cal and Steph discuss the hidden side of risk: the infrequent, often unpredictable events that make the biggest differences in our lives.
If you look around, rare, high-impact events are everywhere.
- A small number of days in the stock market drive the bulk of the returns.
- Large businesses like Google, Amazon, and Best Buy have tested thousands of products, yet have a single profit puppy.
- Insurance companies make money on most customers, but have to pay out very large claims to a few people.
- A handful of people have had more of an effect on the future than the other 7 billion people combined.
This episode is all about navigating tail risk and tail opportunity. You'll learn how to better avoid the catastrophic events in life, and on the flip side, to take advantage of the life-enhancing opportunities with asymmetric upside.
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