2min chapter

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Existential Hope Podcast: Robin Hanson | On Futurism and his Best Career Advice

The Foresight Institute Podcast

CHAPTER

The Power of Time

The Panzvarii hypothesis is about how the chance of advanced life appearing depends on how long it's been since it started. It gives us these answers that they appear roughly once per million galaxies. And if we were to expand out and meet them, it would be roughly a billion years. But that sort of gives more fleshy numbers to the great filter concept that something is in the way.

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