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Trent McConaghy & Steve Omohundro: Welcome New Players | Gaming the Future Book Club Chapter 9
The Foresight Institute Podcast
The Future of AI
The prediction market metacalculus has two markets running. One on sort of a weekly general AI, a very powerful would be transformative possibly, but maybe not as strong as full AGI. And they have a stronger one, which is more like full AGI and their predictions at 2038. So you know, it's a market of people betting, but it gives you a sense that sometime in the next few decades, we're likely to see transformative AI. How do we prepare for this? A number of years ago, I wrote a paper called The Basic AI Drives,. then for many goals, it will develop universal sub-boles. These could be harmful in unexpected ways
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