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10/12/2022: MLB, CFB, NFL, Poe, Dennehy & Naughton

Wharton Moneyball

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The Worst Fourth Down Decision Making Loses Game

If you're the underdog you want to dial up the variance and most of the time it's not going to work out. I am constraining ourselves to not have a model because I'm taking this as a persuasion challenge, he says. "I don't know what the pads on lines are rolling these data" He is concerned that everybody obsesses about what happens when they make the unorthodox decision unorthodox decision and it doesn't work out.

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