The Us. Intelligence Failure Rate Is Only as Good as the Data

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intelligence agencies were criticized by lawmakers for predicting that keve would fall in just three days, right? I remember not understanding the ferocity of the ukranian resistance. And if ucrane falls, and we're all surprised, ultimately that will be framed as a us. Intelligence failure rate. We should have seen it comin. We didn't.

In the nearly four months since the Russian invasion of Ukraine, the United States has been giving officials in Kyiv a steady stream of intelligence to aid them in the fight.

But what is becoming clear is that the Ukrainians are not returning the favor.

Guest: Julian E. Barnes, a national security reporter for The New York Times covering the intelligence agencies.

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Background reading:

American intelligence agencies know far more about Russia’s military than about Ukraine’s war strategy, officials say.
The outcome of battles for key cities in eastern Ukraine could prompt the country’s Western allies to start rethinking their goals.

For more information on today’s episode, visit

nytimes.com/thedaily

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