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The Threat of Superhuman AI
I worry about sort of conflating things that are definitely going to kill us soon with things where it's hard to see exactly how they go well in the long term. It seems pretty unspecified from truly superhuman intelligence, like how much intelligence is going toward what here? I guess maybe since I wrote this post, I've been thinking about things in terms of like the sum amount of cognitive labor going toward different things. An important thing happening with AI is there's just going to be a giant new pile of cognitive labor available and it's also going to be distributed differently than the cognitive labor currently in the world.