The speakers discuss the uncertainty and potential of investing in large language models, such as the foundation models driving open AI. They compare the current situation to the search engine market in the late 1990s and early 2000s, highlighting the difficulty in predicting which models will emerge as the dominant players. They also mention the challenges of choosing a single foundation model and how the largest one is tied to Microsoft. Despite these complexities, they believe that investing in this space has significant potential and will lead to the emergence of big winners. They emphasize the transformative impact of the transformer model.
(0:00) Bestie intros!
(6:47) The VC FOMO frenzy in AI
(25:22) Current LP mindset, VCs leaving boards, startup cram downs and mark downs
(37:23) Macro update: inflation not done, weaker earnings, interest rates
(52:01) Marc Benioff channels his inner Elon Musk, the stock-based compensation boom
(1:11:59) Fox News facing defamation lawsuit over false election fraud claims, TikTok ban heats up, competition with China
(1:34:33) Ukraine update: China's peace proposal, US strategy
(1:46:34) Harvard legacy admissions, Draymond Green on Black History Month
(1:50:01) Stripe chart errata, bestie wrap!
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/chamath
https://linktr.ee/calacanis
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
https://twitter.com/friedberg
https://twitter.com/altcap
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://rb.gy/tppkzl
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.wsj.com/articles/why-i-stood-up-to-disney-florida-woke-corporatism-seaworld-universal-esg-parents-choice-education-defa2506
https://www.thedailybeast.com/bill-maher-shares-definition-of-woke-during-jake-tapper-cnn-interview
https://www.economist.com/business/2023/02/28/investors-are-going-nuts-for-chatgpt-ish-artificial-intelligence
https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/doug-leone-lessons-from-a-titan/id1154105909?i=1000602027979
https://openai.com/blog/introducing-chatgpt-and-whisper-apis
https://twitter.com/heykahn/status/1628453782177865728
https://www.ft.com/content/21420ce2-92a1-43a0-a153-04ac7c872466
https://www.wsj.com/articles/instacart-sees-revenue-profit-boost-ahead-of-public-listing-1d7891d
https://cdn.statcdn.com/Infographic/images/normal/21023.jpeg
https://www.barrons.com/articles/home-prices-dropping-redfin-fac43ede
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/CRM:NYSE
https://s23.q4cdn.com/574569502/files/doc_financials/2023/q4/CRM-Q4-FY23-Earnings-Press-Release-w-financials.pdf
https://seekingalpha.com/article/4583622-salesforce-inc-crm-q4-2023-earnings-call-transcript
https://twitter.com/altcap/status/1631361678582611970
https://www.investopedia.com/articles/06/fas123r.asp
https://www.wsj.com/articles/in-deposition-rupert-murdoch-says-fox-news-hosts-endorsed-false-2020-election-claims-c9348fc0
https://www.reuters.com/technology/tiktok-develop-parental-control-tool-block-certain-videos-2023-03-01
https://www.reuters.com/technology/white-house-gives-agencies-30-days-impose-federal-device-tiktok-ban-2023-02-27
https://www.wsj.com/articles/house-committee-lays-out-case-for-china-threat-ad62c611
https://www.euronews.com/2023/02/27/chinas-peace-plan-russia-says-no-conditions-for-peaceful-solution-or-ukraine-for-now
https://www.wsj.com/articles/ukraine-war-depleting-u-s-ammunition-stockpiles-sparking-pentagon-concern-11661792188
https://twitter.com/wikileaks/status/1496886759665586177
https://twitter.com/deloreshandy/status/1629516350602264582
https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w26316/w26316.pdf
https://www.tmz.com/2023/03/01/draymond-green-calls-end-black-history-month-celebrate-all-year
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2023-03-02/how-former-fugee-pras-michel-got-involved-in-1mdb-scandal-big-take
https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2023/03/06/how-the-biggest-fraud-in-german-history-unravelled
