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David Rosenberg: Recession Is Already Here & the Fed Is Blind to It | Part I of II

Wealthion - Be Financially Resilient

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Analyzing Payroll Growth Discrepancies and Labor Market Trends

This chapter analyzes the inaccuracies in payroll growth statistics, particularly how the birth-death model inflates job increase numbers during downturns. It argues that real labor market conditions are deteriorating, with a focus on JOLTS data as a more reliable indicator of employment trends.

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