#48 – Spencer Weart on the Discovery of Global Warming
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Climate Modeling
There's about five % chance, probability of going to four degrees s or above. Once you're above that, who knows where it stops? We do not understand clouds. And in particular, we have no way to understand how clouds will act at two degrees save because we have not been able to observe clouds in the mesozoic era. So we don't really know what the clouds will do. I don't have any reason to say anything different from five% chances that we're on an airplane and it's going to crash.
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