Eight: Prof Hilary Greaves on moral cluelessness, population ethics, & harnessing the brainpower of academia to tackle the most important research questions
Effective Altruism: An Introduction – 80,000 Hours
Is It a Good Idea to Focus on the Long Tamed Fuature?
i wrote my paper on this maybe a year or so ago, so it was quite recent for me. I think we're just in a very uncomfortable situation where what you should do in expected value terms depends with annoying sensitivity and unfortunate sensitivity. It seems like you can make the argument that risk aversion is a reason o to be more favourable to work on on the long run future. But whether or not that's going to follow is going to depend on what your riskaverse with respect to. If you really want to do something in even the rough ball park of maximu is the probability that you make some difference then don't work on extinction risk mitigation.
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