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6 | Liv Boeree on Poker, Aliens, and Thinking in Probabilities

Sean Carroll's Mindscape: Science, Society, Philosophy, Culture, Arts, and Ideas

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Are There Any Intelligent Civilizations?

The drake equation is a way of timating the number of intelligent civilizations by saying, well, how many planets are there? Times, what's the fraction of planets on which life develops? Times,What's the fraction on which the life becomes intelligent? Ho diferet ways of breaking it down, but as far as i can tell, there's quieof two things in the new paper that are kind of interesting. And secondly, it is a matter of being good basians and up dating or priors, right? I mean, just based on the laws of physics, were probably the only intelligent civilization in the galaxy. They don't seem to be out there.

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