SI133: Volatility Targeting ft. Rob Carver
Top Traders Unplugged
The Volatility of the Market
"To some extent, it actually doesn't surprise me. In fact, I would say this is exactly what I would expect because what you often see," he says. "I do think that one of the very large CTA's in this space has something like that in their system where they change speed."
Rob Carver joins us today to discuss whether it’s a good idea to adjust your strategy during different periods of volatility, Bitcoin’s expected role as an inflation-hedge, whether commodities are more suited to shorter-term trading than other markets, the NFT frenzy & its credibility as an investment asset, volume analysis and whether it can be play worthwhile part in a Trend Following system, and why volatility may not be a good measure of risk.
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50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE
In this episode, we discuss:
- The case for and against Volatility Targeting
- Whether Bitcoin can offset any risks from a high-inflationary environment
- Whether commodities can be suitable for long-term strategies
- The credibility of NFTs as an asset class
- Volume analysis as a trading signal
- Volatility as a measure of risk
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Episode TimeStamps:
00:00 – Intro
02:24 – Macro recap from Niels
04:17 – Weekly review of performance
31:32 – Q1; Dennis: How can a retail trader with limited capital access the commodity markets?
41:47 - Q2; Dennis: How would you deal with big intraday volatility such as in 2020?
51:02 - Q3; Cat: Is volume analysis overrated?
56:16 - Q4; Gustavo: Why should we be worried about volatility if it is going our way?
01:05:52 - Q5; Emra: How often should you recalibrate your system? Why do you recommend not locking in profits early, after unusually sharp portfolio increases?
01:16:08 – Benchmark performance update
01:12:25 – Recommended listening or reading this week: Howard Marks’ latest memo
01:27:35 – Recommended listening or reading this week: MacroVoices Podcast featuring Juliette Declercq
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