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On A Long Enough Timeline, JP Is Always Right

The Rate Guy

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Economic Indicators and Interest Rate Predictions

This chapter examines the market's response to a negative economic report and the subsequent predictions from major banks regarding potential interest rate cuts. The discussion highlights the influence of upcoming elections on the Federal Reserve's strategy and emphasizes the disconnect between reported data and the true state of the labor market. Additionally, it critiques the reliance on outdated indicators while analyzing the implications of recent labor market trends.

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