2min chapter

Minds Almost Meeting cover image

Polls vs. prediction markets (Robin Hanson & Agnes Callard, with Arnold Brooks)

Minds Almost Meeting

CHAPTER

Assessing Self-Identity: The Wolf and Sheep Metaphor

This chapter explores the metaphor of being a 'wolf' or a 'sheep' in relation to self-assessment of intelligence and skills. It emphasizes the importance of practical experience through betting as a means to calibrate one's beliefs and abilities, while advocating for continuous self-evaluation to avoid misjudgment.

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