On Geopolitics cover image

Episode 17: What is going to happen next?

On Geopolitics

CHAPTER

The Importance of Assessment Analysis

Predicting and forecasting is so unhelpful, says Lord Tebbit. You can only spot the sort of outlier event that's a clue that something's going to happen if you're tracking all the other events. The question on will Vladimir Putin invade Ukraine is a question of intent - we know what his capabilities are; the question is whether he'll do it. If we believe it's a possibility, then we need to consider what we're going to do now to stop it happening.

00:00
Transcript
Play full episode

Remember Everything You Learn from Podcasts

Save insights instantly, chat with episodes, and build lasting knowledge - all powered by AI.
App store bannerPlay store banner