The Growth Guide: Self-Improvement | Greatness | Impact | Creators | FI |  cover image

Spend Your Way to Wealth and Freedom with the Financial Samurai Sam Dogen

The Growth Guide: Self-Improvement | Greatness | Impact | Creators | FI |

CHAPTER

Using Probabilistic Thinking to Improve Your Decision-Making Framework

Bob Greene: I like to work on averages. For example, let's say the stock market, S&P 500, the historical average we know is about 10% annual returns dividends reinvested. Once you know the baseline, then you can start thinking about probabilities with returns above and below the return averages. So there are no certainty on your probability of beating a 10% return this year but what happens is that you train your mind to get close to a realistic probability percentage.

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