Macro barbell: metals versus AI trade

Bitcoin surges toward $100K as Venezuela headlines and U.S. action/capture news sparked a shock-driven rally and short squeeze, while traders watched key levels for a continuation. We also covered why the move may have been reinforced by returning spot Bitcoin ETF inflows, alongside a broader “risk-off” bid that pushed gold and silver higher. From there we zoomed out to the macro/policy setup—Fed rate-cut debate, Tom Lee’s warning of a 10–15% pullback early in 2026—and the regulatory backdrop, including Lummis retiring, Arizona’s crypto tax push, and the growing “Bitcoin-only” narrative.