Intro

Analyzing historical patterns, the chapter cautions against the belief in lasting peace after wars, drawing attention to global conflicts, breakdown of institutions, and the looming threat of future wars like a potential second Korean War.

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The post-WWII peace is an ILLUSION—just like every other "permanent peace" throughout history. All great peaceful periods (Pax Romana, 19th century) were maintained by empires with overwhelming violence capability. As America weakens, wars are already erupting globally. Today's institutions are crumbling dams about to break. This episode examines 10 potential conflict scenarios likely to emerge in the next 25 years as our temporary peace inevitably reverts to history's violent norm.

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Bibliography:

The Reluctant Super by Peter Zeihan

Disunited Nations by Peter Zeihan

The End of the World is just the Beginning by Peter Zeihan

The Next 100 Years by George Friedman

The Storm before the Calm by George Friedman

Flash Points by George Friedman

Ages of Discord by Peter Turchin

Secular Cycles by Peter Turchin