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John Porter: Here Is How The Next 6 Months Will Look

The Macro Trading Floor

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Putting Out a Curve Steepener Could Be a Good Idea

In late 2000 nominal growth was actually slowing down, we had the first negative surprise in the labor market and in earnings. The Federal Reserve could only start cutting rates later in 2001, as again inflation was running much hotter than their mandate. So you're looking at this for potential constraints as a setup to draw parallels with the past, the late 60s, and especially in my opinion, late 2000 beginning of 2001 they represent pretty decent parallels with today.

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