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We all face major decisions at key points in our lives. We also have big decisions to make as a society, even as a species. Steve and Johnson doesn't claim these decisions will be easy, but he says we do have powerful tools at our disposal. In his book, Far Sited, Johnson writes about the psychologist, Philip Tetlock's work on forecasting. Tetlock found that some people are much better than others at reading the signs about what's coming. Malcolm Gladwell isn't impressed.