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One huge indie and one tiny one [The Resties]
The Besties
BioShock 2
I would not be surprised if the BioShock game was announced and we saw just the title card at the game awards. The trailer will announce a release date of 2023. I think there is a 0.3% chance of that happening. No new Mario platforming games are shown in 2022 aside from mobile games and expansions slash DLC. That prediction made a ton of sense when we thought Breath of the Wild 2 was going to come out this year. And yeah without that, Nintendo is not going to show anything like that.
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