This year, politically, it's already a big surprise to me, to a lot of people. Could it be the case for entering a new era where political volatility is higher? Basically, all forecasters will just do much worse than they've been doing. And here's a related worry: stock market volatility is correlated with itself over time.
Nate Silver joins Tyler Cowen for a conversation on data, forecasting, My Bloody Valentine, the social value of gambling, Donald Trump and the presidential field, vacation advice, Supreme Court picks, the wisdom of Björk, and the most underrated statistic for finding good food.
Read a full transcript enhanced with helpful links, or watch the full video.
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