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In Conversation with GROW – Outlook for China’s Economy

Beyond Markets

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The CPI and PPI Inflation Trough

The CPI inflation in April has fallen close to 0 and the PPI inflation has continued to be negative. From a cycle point of view, we are at the bottom of the cycle. We need some stimulus to prove economy out of this bottom. But I think it's very difficult to engage when the CPI will bottom because CPI tend to lag economic activities by three to six months or sometimes even longer.

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