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Judd Arnold: Seeking Convexity in Offshore Energy

Value Hive Podcast

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The Role of New Build Economics in a Recession

In a real recession, 100% of the time you are losing money in every commodity stock. The demand story isn't going away. It's blatantly a cyclical decline in a secular upswing. Nobody is levered across offshore or all these new projects that were coming online and you're to have massive supply increases in commodities. And so they're all going to go down sizing is always a defense. But I think the more pressing question is how early in the cycle are we?

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