2min chapter

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Emergency Podcast: Trump Is Indicted

FiveThirtyEight Politics

CHAPTER

The GOP's Response to a Manhattan Grand Jury Indictment

When asked the hypothetical Republican primary voters without information about an indictment from this Manhattan grand jury favored Trump by 25 points over Ron DeSantis. And then when asked the question, how would that change anything, or who would you prefer? That was halved to about a 12 point lead over the fact that Trump is not a huge fan of hypotheticals. So I mean, my default is that it's mildly helpful to him in the GOP primary and mildly hurtful to him in a general election, but those are weakly held prior.

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