171: The easiest person to fool is yourself (with Daniel Simons and Christopher Chabris)
Everything Hertz
00:00
The Importance of Anal Beads in Cheating
Magnus Carlsen accused Hans Neiman of cheating against him in a tournament. Some self-appointed data sleuths from the chess world went out and did their version of an exact fishy test on the, the public record of Hans Neiman's game. They would find these suspicious patterns like when his games are being broadcast live, he performs better than when his games not being broadcast live. And they were barely even doing any appropriate baseline comparisons, let alone computing p-values or anything like that. It can sort of lead you to think that cheating is happening maybe when it's not actually really happening, which is, it could be a big problem.
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