The experts thought there was about a 20% total chance of a catastrophe by 2100. The relatively optimistic super forecasters gave those events probabilities of 9%. Both groups put nuclear war and AI as much bigger worries than anything else. Even the super forecasters thought that AI was the biggest risk.
Wiping out a tenth of the world? Possible. Wiping out all of humanity? Less likely, but not entirely impossible. We examine how two groups of experts have arrived at these worrying predictions about AI. Education is giving hope to inmates in a maximum security prison in New York (11:17). And, on Britain’s working men’s clubs which have nurtured rock bands for decades (18:00).
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