The Intelligence from The Economist cover image

AI-pocalypse: predicting the threat from artificial intelligence

The Intelligence from The Economist

The Differences Between Subject Matter Experts and General Purpose Super Forecasters

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The experts thought there was about a 20% total chance of a catastrophe by 2100. The relatively optimistic super forecasters gave those events probabilities of 9%. Both groups put nuclear war and AI as much bigger worries than anything else. Even the super forecasters thought that AI was the biggest risk.

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