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Forecasting the Future of Covid

NEJM Interviews

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Are You Forecasting Correctly?

In the early days of forecasting, how is it affecting your behavior? I am being less cautious than i was before i got vaccinated and boosted. And still im sitting in a hotel to day in atlanta where not many people are masking. How do we as a community know if youare getting it right, if the goal is to always be wrong? It's a great question. But picking up on the concept we discussed before, that if you forecast correctly, behavior changes, so the concern of the forecast does not happen.

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