A Quinnipiac poll released this month shows Biden beating Trump nationwide 49 to 45, and also in key battleground states. Most polls show him in the high 30s or low 40s nationwide; another national survey from NBC found that 60% of Americans say they do not want Trump to run again. The only other candidate we really have much data on is Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, who does typically outperform Trump when matched up head-to-head against Biden.

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