The Egg Toss Analogy For Leverage

Lawrence Lepard is a professional investment manager and author of “The Big Print”. James Lavish is Managing Partner at the Bitcoin Opportunity Fund. Both are vocal advocates for Bitcoin's transformative potential of finance.

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› https://x.com/lawrencelepard

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🕑 TIMESTAMPS

00:00 - Introduction: The Macro Thesis Is Accelerating00:53 - OG Selling Broke The 4-Year Cycle07:32 - Bitcoin Is The Liquidity Fire Alarm08:47 - The Fed Is Trapped: Big Print Is Certain11:39 - The Catastrophic Seizure of Russian Treasuries14:45 - Gold Is A Bond, Bitcoin Is Growth Equity18:37 - The Warning on Bitcoin Treasury Stocks25:31 - Why Hardest Money Always Wins34:25 - It's A Trend, Not A Trade36:51 - How To Handle Bitcoin Volatility42:47 - Who Is Buying The OG Bitcoin Supply?48:28 - The Trigger Event: Feels Like Summer '0851:11 - The Debt Spiral & The Egg Toss Analogy01:00:42 - Positioning for The Bitcoin Standard01:08:41 - How The Elites Colluded on Money01:12:56 - The Revenge of the True Bitcoiner01:19:38 - Why The Fed Will Run It Hot Next Year01:24:06 - Wisdom for Millennials & Gen Z

ℹ️ EPISODE SUMMARY

Lawrence Lepard and James Lavish join Bram Kanstein again on the podcast to decode the current strange market sentiment despite an accelerating macro environment. They reveal that recent Bitcoin price action is driven by significant "OG selling" and liquidity draining, signaling a pre-event tightening in the system. Lawrence explains the key difference: gold is sniffing out monetary debasement, while Bitcoin is the perfect "liquidity fire alarm" reacting to what the system cannot print anymore. Both guests agree the Fed is trapped and another massive "big print" is mathematically certain, which will eventually force a historic, non-temporary monetary shift. This certainty means Bitcoin isn't a trade but a long-term position in a debasement trend that will see it eventually reprice the entire monetary order.