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005: Kevin Davey discusses important aspects of system development, the best systems to use, the correct backtesting process and how to be a successful trader

Better System Trader

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How to Do a Monte Carlo Simulation of the Equity Curve?

Monte carlo simulation is really a way to put some random ness in your test results and do some stress testing. It allows you to kind of get some probabilities of what draw down you're likely to experience, what kind of profits you'll have. But when i'd run the monte carlo Simulation, i found out that there was really a lot more risk in the system than i had anticipated.

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