The Soudy Government's Absurdity Heristics

This is an audioversion of scott alexander's astral codex ten, provided with his permission. Examine why a belief has even come to your attention in the first place. If you inexplicably decide to investigate the possibility that a random number between one and a million will come up as 282 thousand and 58, then you can dismiss it with little thought because you had no reason to believe it in the first Place. The only reason neom is possible deserves scrutiny is because the soudy government claims that it is. Their king is a meglomaniac. Plus, people are afraid to voice dissent. There is no royal road. Sometimes there isn't even a